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Statistics calculator

Survival Analysis Calculator

Calculate survival and cumulative event probability under a constant-hazard exponential model.

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How to use the survival analysis calculator

  1. Prepare the values for this calculation

    Calculate survival and cumulative event probability under a constant-hazard exponential model. Use the formula below to check that it answers your question. Read the input units before transferring figures from a statement, measurement or dataset.

  2. Enter and check each input

    • Constant hazard rate λ: enter a value at least 1e-09. Use the unit named in the label or selected above. Do not leave this required field blank.
    • Time t: enter a value at least 0. Use the unit named in the label or selected above. Do not leave this required field blank.

    The input table gives a complete example. Keep units and time periods consistent across related fields.

  3. Calculate and resolve any input error

    Choose Calculate after entering the values. Changes also update the answer after a short pause. If an error appears, follow its message, correct the field and calculate again. Reset restores the example values.

  4. Interpret the answer

    Check Survival probability first. With the unchanged example inputs, it is 0.606530659713. Compare the additional metrics with the primary result; each has its own label and unit.

  5. Compare and keep a useful result

    For a controlled comparison, keep every other example input unchanged and change Constant hazard rate λ from 0.1 to 0.2. The resulting Survival probability is 0.367879441171. This illustrates the equation’s response to that input, rather than a forecast of real events.

    Read the chart’s axis labels and data table. A scenario curve changes one stated input while holding the others fixed; it does not add external observations. Use Download graph to save an available chart as a PNG.

    Use Copy result or Download CSV to keep the answer. Share tool shares the page address without placing your input values in the URL. Recheck inputs and assumptions before using the result for a decision.

Survival Analysis Calculator formula

S(t)=e^(−λt); F(t)=1−S(t); median survival=ln(2)/λ.

Inputs and units

Inputs and example values for Survival Analysis Calculator
InputFormat / rangeExample
Constant hazard rate λminimum 1e-090.1
Time tminimum 05

Worked example

Using the example inputs above, the survival probability is 0.606530659713.

Survival probability
0.606530659713
Cumulative event probability
0.393469340287
Median survival
6.931471805599

Results and assumptions

Assumes a constant hazard over time.

Fix an input or unexpected result

Constant hazard rate λ is required. Enter constant hazard rate λ using the format and bounds in the input table. Zero and an empty field are different: use zero only if it is allowed and represents your data.

If your answer differs from the example, choose Reset and compare every field, including selected units and options. Check percentage versus decimal entry and whether values describe the same period. Round only the final displayed answer when reproducing the formula.

If a discrepancy remains, report the calculator issue with the page address, non-sensitive example inputs, actual result, expected result and a reference for your calculation.