How to use the race predictor calculator
Prepare the values for this calculation
Estimate equivalent race time with the Riegel endurance relationship. Use the formula below to check that it answers your question. Read the input units before transferring figures from a statement, measurement or dataset.
Enter and check each input
- Known race time (minutes): enter a value at least 1e-06. Use the unit named in the label or selected above. Do not leave this required field blank.
- Known distance: enter a value at least 1e-06. Use the unit named in the label or selected above. Do not leave this required field blank.
- Target distance: enter a value at least 1e-06. Use the unit named in the label or selected above. Do not leave this required field blank.
- Riegel exponent: enter a value at least 0.1 and no more than 3. Use the unit named in the label or selected above. Do not leave this required field blank.
The input table gives a complete example. Keep units and time periods consistent across related fields.
Calculate and resolve any input error
Choose Calculate after entering the values. Changes also update the answer after a short pause. If an error appears, follow its message, correct the field and calculate again. Reset restores the example values.
Interpret the answer
Check Predicted time first. With the unchanged example inputs, it is 52m 7s. Compare the additional metrics with the primary result; each has its own label and unit.
Compare and keep a useful result
For a controlled comparison, keep every other example input unchanged and change Known race time (minutes) from 25 to 27.5. The resulting Predicted time is 57m 20s. This illustrates the equation’s response to that input, rather than a forecast of real events.
Read the chart’s axis labels and data table. A scenario curve changes one stated input while holding the others fixed; it does not add external observations. Use Download graph to save an available chart as a PNG.
Use Copy result or Download CSV to keep the answer. Share tool shares the page address without placing your input values in the URL. Recheck inputs and assumptions before using the result for a decision.
Race Predictor Calculator formula
T₂=T₁×(D₂/D₁)^1.06.
Inputs and units
| Input | Format / range | Example |
|---|---|---|
| Known race time (minutes) | minimum 1e-06 | 25 |
| Known distance | minimum 1e-06 | 5 |
| Target distance | minimum 1e-06 | 10 |
| Riegel exponent | minimum 0.1; maximum 3 | 1.06 |
Worked example
Using the example inputs above, the predicted time is 52m 7s.
- Predicted time
- 52m 7s
- Predicted minutes
- 52.1233
Results and assumptions
Race predictions are estimates; terrain, weather, fatigue and training specificity can materially change actual performance.
Fix an input or unexpected result
Known race time (minutes) is required. Enter known race time (minutes) using the format and bounds in the input table. Zero and an empty field are different: use zero only if it is allowed and represents your data.
If your answer differs from the example, choose Reset and compare every field, including selected units and options. Check percentage versus decimal entry and whether values describe the same period. Round only the final displayed answer when reproducing the formula.
If a discrepancy remains, report the calculator issue with the page address, non-sensitive example inputs, actual result, expected result and a reference for your calculation.